Skip to main content

Big Four no longer? Not just yet..


After another amazing Wimbledon Final yesterday, the question this tournament was are we seeing the end of the Big Four? Well two of the 'Big Four' just played out one of the greatest 5 set Wimbledon Finals in recent memory.

It's worth taking a look at the Grand Slam champions since 2003. That year saw Federer win his maiden slam at Wimbledon when he defeated Mark Philippoussis, 7–6, 6–2, 7–6. Fast forward to the current day and 44 Grand Slam tournaments later, the breakdown (Big Four only) is as follows:

  • Roger Feder: 25 Finals, 17 Wins
  • Rafael Nadal: 20 Finals, 14 Wins
  • Novak Djokovic: 14 Finals, 7 Wins
  • Andy Murray: 7 Finals, 2 Wins

Between these guys they have won 40 of the past 45 Grand Slams spanning 11 years. However, the Big Four wasn't truly born until 2008 when Djokovic won the Australian and Murray was a runner-up at the US Open that year to Federer. It was the Big One (Federer), then Big Two (add Nadal) and then Big Four.
2003United States Andre Agassi (8/8)Spain Juan Ferrero  SUI Roger Federer (1/17)United States Andy Roddick
2004Switzerland Roger Federer (2/17)Argentina Gastón GaudioSwitzerland Roger Federer (3/17)Switzerland Roger Federer (4/17)
2005Russia Marat Safin (2/2)Spain Rafael Nadal (1/14)Switzerland Roger Federer (5/17)Switzerland Roger Federer (6/17)
2006Switzerland Roger Federer (7/17)Spain Rafael Nadal (2/14)Switzerland Roger Federer (8/17)Switzerland Roger Federer (9/17)
2007Switzerland Roger Federer (10/17)Spain Rafael Nadal (3/14)Switzerland Roger Federer (11/17)Switzerland Roger Federer (12/17)
2008 Novak Djokovic (1/7)Spain Rafael Nadal (4/14)Spain Rafael Nadal (5/14)Switzerland Roger Federer (13/17)
2009Spain Rafael Nadal (6/14)Switzerland Roger Federer (14/17)Switzerland Roger Federer (15/17)Argentina Juan Martín del Potro
2010Switzerland Roger Federer (16/17)Spain Rafael Nadal (7/14)Spain Rafael Nadal (8/14)Spain Rafael Nadal (9/14)
2011Serbia Novak Djokovic (2/7)Spain Rafael Nadal (10/14)Serbia Novak Djokovic (3/7)Serbia Novak Djokovic (4/7)
2012Serbia Novak Djokovic (5/7)Spain Rafael Nadal (11/14)Switzerland Roger Federer (17/17)United Kingdom Andy Murray (1/2)
2013Serbia Novak Djokovic (6/7)Spain Rafael Nadal (12/14)United Kingdom Andy Murray (2/2)Spain Rafael Nadal (13/14)
2014Switzerland Stanislas WawrinkaSpain Rafael Nadal (14/14)Serbia Novak Djokovic (7/7)
Source: Wikipedia

Actually, apart from Wawrinka and Del Potro's solitary wins, the Big Four have dominated and continue to do so. There is no question however, that we are beginning to see a slight demise in some Big Four performances at the slams (for example Federer has only won 2 of his 17 slams since 2010). 

Let's look at the semi finalists for the past 7 Slams from beginning of 2013:

2013
Australian Open 2013: Djokovic v. Ferrer, Murray v. Federer (3/4)
Roland Garros (French Open) 2013: Djokovic v. Nadal, Ferrer v. Tsonga (2/4)
Wimbledon 2013: Djokovic v. Del Potro, Murray v. Janowicz (2/4)
US Open 2013: Djokovic v. Wawrinka, Nadal v. Gasquet (2/4)
2014
Australian Open 2014: Nadal v. Federer, Wawrinka v. Berdych (2/4)
Roland Garros (French Open) 2014: Nadal v. Murray, Djokovic v. Gulbis (3/4)
Wimbledon 2014: Djokovic v. Dimitrov, Federer v. Raonic (2/4)

In fact the last time the Big Four took all 4 semi-final berths was at Australia in 2012. With Wawrinka's breakthrough in January, and the emergence of Dimitrov and Raonic at Wimbledon it would seem like the Big Four's dominance is in more danger than ever. Can the new stars take the US Open? Or will we have to wait until 2015 to see new names emerge as GS winners. Whatever happens, this Golden Era of tennis is still strong today and a privilege to watch. 


Match Point Djokovic v. Federer at Wimbledon 2014 (forgive shakiness as I'm not a pro :))





Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Big Two make Australian Open Final 2013

As I predicted in my last post it would be a Murray and Djokovic Final in Australia, also citing Murray's triumph over Federer in the semi (wish I had've put my money where my blog is). There is no doubt in the tennis world that Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray have played the best tennis in the past 6 months. Many predicted after Murray's breakthrough victory at Flushing Meadows that this was the dawn of tennis' new big rivalry. Rafa and Roger have served up the greatest rivalry in tennis history that spans back to 2004. Having played 8 Grand Slam finals (Rafa leads 6-2) and winning 28 titles between them, makes it the greatest. The question is can Rafa or Federer make it to any more finals? The chances of them both making a final against each other seems even less likely. That's mainly due to the rise of Novak, and more recently Andy. Could the greatest tennis rivalry ever be handing a baton to another of the greatest rivalries? The fact that this top four has

Grand Slam Averages 2011 The Big Four

I have compiled averages from all matches played at the slams in 2011.  It is interesting how the points won averages (%) are in order of how the rankings finished for the year. When you look at Djokovic you can see he has the best averages overall, as his three victories would have suggested. Djokovic and Federer are the guys that impress the most when it comes to percentage of service points won, with Federer having a slight edge. In terms of percentage of return points won it is Nadal who is the strongest with Djokovic a close second. They both win more than 60% of points on their opponents second serve, which is very impressive. These numbers express what we already know in terms of both players ability to outrally their opponents from the baseline. It also means for Murray or Federer to get victories, a high first serve percentage is vital. The big question is can Djokovic keep this level going in 2012. His averages when winning this years Australian Open d

The Big Three Domination, is there an end in sight?

The Big Four has been the Big Three for longer than we think Whilst in the past we discussed the 'Big Four', it really has been only the 'Big Three' (referred to as BT) all along when we look back in time. Murray was a great challenger to the BT but as time moves on, the BT with Andy just outside it makes more sense than discussing a 'Big Four'. Nadal in action at Wimbledon 2019 Nadal's win at US Open Some will suggest that Rafa got an 'easy' US Open win by not having to defeat his toughest rivals en-route to the title. Federer and Djokovic both went out rather timidly. Federer went out in 5 sets to Dimitrov in the Quarter final and was clearly struggling with back pain. Djokovic had to retire in his Round of 16 match against Wawrinka. You could argue that this made it a more straightforward title for Nadal (I am sure Medvedev would argue this point). When we look at the data it provides some interesting insights. Below shows Grand