Skip to main content

Murray's first serve percentage and it's impact

Andy Murray will step into the Rod Laver Arena to face Novak Djokovic for their 11th meeting of their professional careers on Friday. Interestingly, this is only their second meeting in a Grand Slam. Their only other meeting at a Slam ended in a straight sets victory in last year's Australian Open final.

Having a look at first serve averages for both players from all matches played at last year's four Slams, the stats tell a very interesting story. The points won when first serve goes in is almost  identical with only 0.02% of difference. This makes intriguing reading considering this average is taken over 27 matches for Djokovic (one walkover) and 25 for Murray.

The stats would tell us get if either of these guys gets a first serve in, they'll win 76.1 (give or take a tenth %) of those points. The trouble for Murray is that he got less than 60% of first serves in whilst Djokovic finished close to 70%.









Djokovic  Murray
1st Serve % 68.01 59.46
1st Serve Points Won 76.09 76.11






 


If Murray wants to beat Djokovic and make it 1-1 in Grand Slam matchups, then he needs to find his rythmn on first serves. It is one of a number of important factors, but this one is certainly key.

More interesting stats to follow, so keep me a lookout.



Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Big Two make Australian Open Final 2013

As I predicted in my last post it would be a Murray and Djokovic Final in Australia, also citing Murray's triumph over Federer in the semi (wish I had've put my money where my blog is). There is no doubt in the tennis world that Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray have played the best tennis in the past 6 months. Many predicted after Murray's breakthrough victory at Flushing Meadows that this was the dawn of tennis' new big rivalry. Rafa and Roger have served up the greatest rivalry in tennis history that spans back to 2004. Having played 8 Grand Slam finals (Rafa leads 6-2) and winning 28 titles between them, makes it the greatest. The question is can Rafa or Federer make it to any more finals? The chances of them both making a final against each other seems even less likely. That's mainly due to the rise of Novak, and more recently Andy. Could the greatest tennis rivalry ever be handing a baton to another of the greatest rivalries? The fact that this top four has...

The Big Three Domination, is there an end in sight?

The Big Four has been the Big Three for longer than we think Whilst in the past we discussed the 'Big Four', it really has been only the 'Big Three' (referred to as BT) all along when we look back in time. Murray was a great challenger to the BT but as time moves on, the BT with Andy just outside it makes more sense than discussing a 'Big Four'. Nadal in action at Wimbledon 2019 Nadal's win at US Open Some will suggest that Rafa got an 'easy' US Open win by not having to defeat his toughest rivals en-route to the title. Federer and Djokovic both went out rather timidly. Federer went out in 5 sets to Dimitrov in the Quarter final and was clearly struggling with back pain. Djokovic had to retire in his Round of 16 match against Wawrinka. You could argue that this made it a more straightforward title for Nadal (I am sure Medvedev would argue this point). When we look at the data it provides some interesting insights. Below shows Grand...

2019 Wimbledon Final: What does Federer need to do to stop Djokovic eating grass?

Today's Wimbledon Final between two of the greatest ever is almost sure to be a classic. This rivalry rarely throws up a match that isn't a classic.  Djokovic is Number 1 for a Reason Djokovic is deservedly seeded 1 and favourite to regain his title. His record this year has been been to win 90% of his matches, with only 1 Grand Slam loss in 2019 and that has been his only loss since Roland Garros in 2018. Federer's record for 2019 and Career win-loss are also very impressive numbers.  With 2 losses in Slams so far, to Nadal at Roland Garros at the Semi-Final stage and the shock loss to Tsitsipas in Australia. Head to Head  Djokovic has a slight advantage their Head to Head. Federer's last win against Djokovic was at the 2015 ATP Finals in London. They have just played on 3 occasions since with Djokovic taking all 3 matches. Just one of those was in the Slams at the 2016 Australian. They had 2 meetings in 2018 and the last of those was a...